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simpleflying: Western Europe Has Seen The Biggest Global Capacity Drop

simpleflying: Western Europe Has Seen The Biggest Global Capacity Drop

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According to the latest OAG update dated 13th of April, around five million scheduled seats for the coming week have been removed by airlines globally. This is the lowest weekly capacity-cut since the 16th of March. One of the prime reasons behind this trend might be related to the current capacity reaching a minimum operational threshold. In total, around 58 million scheduled seats have been removed by airlines in the last four weeks. Western Europe has shown the largest capacity drop, while China shows signs of improvement.

Changes in numbers

Comparing current airline capacity to the scheduled capacity in the week starting 20th January gives us a representation of the effects of coronavirus. Region-wise, Europe, Southwest-Pacific, and Lower South America have shown the most considerable decline.
An area-wise reduction in scheduled capacity is as follows:
  • Western Europe: –90.7%
  • Southwest-Pacific: -89.7%
  • Latin America/Upper South America: -71.3%
  • North America: -62.2%
  • Middle-East, South, and South-East Asia: -67%
  • North-East Asia: -52.9%
  • Eastern/Central Europe: -65.9%
The current airline seat offering in Western Europe is said to be less than 15% of what it was a year ago. The main factor behind these numbers has to do with the massive number of flight cancellations since the 31st of March.
Looking at the current trends, it’s not easy to predict how and when normal capacity will resume. However, it is pretty evident that domestic seats will be much more easily restored compared to international seats.
Initially, domestic seats constituted a 61% share in total airline capacity. After the coronavirus crisis, the number has risen to 85%. This is clearly due to increasing travel restrictions and plummeting international travel demand, which has led to a fall of 88% in international capacity since mid-January.

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